The NFL preseason is wrapping up, and with it comes the final chance for bettors to find value on player props before the regular season kicks off. While many rookies have shown promise, not all are created equal in the eyes of oddsmakers. This year, two players stand out as particularly smart wagers, as their current odds appear to be underestimating their potential impact. We've broken down why these two rookies are worth a serious look before their prices go up.
1. Caleb Williams, Quarterback, Chicago Bears
After a highly-anticipated draft selection, Caleb Williams has shown flashes of his immense talent throughout the preseason. His preseason performance, while not flawless, has demonstrated the playmaking ability and poise that made him the No. 1 overall pick. The most compelling reason to bet on Williams, however, is the team around him. The Bears have surrounded him with an elite group of receivers in D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and fellow rookie Rome Odunze. This incredible arsenal of weapons gives Williams a high floor and a very high ceiling.
The Prop Bet: The over on his passing yards and touchdowns.
The Analysis: With a receiving corps this talented, the betting lines on his passing totals seem remarkably low. The Bears' new offense is designed to be quarterback-friendly, and with so many reliable targets, Williams is in a prime position to exceed expectations and put up big numbers in his rookie campaign.
2. Malik Nabers, Wide Receiver, New York Giants
Malik Nabers was arguably the most explosive wide receiver in the 2024 NFL Draft, and he has looked every bit the part in preseason workouts and games. He has already established himself as the clear number one receiver for the New York Giants. Unlike other top rookies who are part of crowded receiver rooms, Nabers will be the undisputed top target from day one. This guarantees him a massive volume of targets.
The Prop Bet: The over on his receiving yards and touchdowns.
The Analysis: Given his explosive play style and projected target share, the over on his receiving yardage is particularly appealing. Nabers has the unique ability to turn a short catch into a game-changing play. With the Giants' offense likely to lean on him heavily, his production should be consistent, making his total yards a smart bet for the upcoming season.
NFL, Sports Betting
NFL Odds, Player Props, Caleb Williams, Malik Nabers, Sports Analysis, NFL Rookies